Air Force
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 72.3913Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Bucknell 49-13 913 A Utah St MIDW ( 7- 7, 75.5) 30-49 920 H Boise State MIDW ( 9- 4, 80.1) 37-49 927 H Hawaii MIDW ( 8- 5, 76.2) 35-44 1004 A Navy AME (10- 2, 78.8) 31-34 1011 A UNLV MIDW ( 8- 5, 75.5) 48-51 1018 H Wyoming MIDW ( 5- 7, 70.9) 24-21 1101 H Army AME ( 7- 6, 78.4) 17-20 1108 A San Jose St MIDW ( 3- 9, 69.0) 26-16 1115 A UConn IND ( 9- 4, 74.4) 16-26 1122 H New Mexico MIDW ( 9- 4, 77.5) 3-20 1128 A Colorado St MIDW ( 2-11, 64.4) 42-21 1129 A Colorado St MIDW ( 2-11, 64.4) 42-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
913 A Utah St 30-49 -19 -8 -- -5.60
920 H Boise State 37-49 -12 -2 --- -9.56
927 H Hawaii 35-44 -9 1 --- -10.45
1004 A Navy 31-34 -3 -12 +++ 8.67
1011 A UNLV 48-51 -3 -8 ++ 5.36
1018 H Wyoming 24-21 3 7 - -3.77
1101 H Army 17-20 -3 -1 - -2.26
1108 A San Jose St 26-16 10 -2 +++ 11.85
1115 A UConn 16-26 -10 -7 - -2.72
1122 H New Mexico 3-20 -17 0 --- -14.14
1128 A Colorado St 42-21 21 3 +++ 11.32
1129 A Colorado St 42-21 21 3 +++ 11.32
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 H Boise State 37-49 -12 -2 --- -9.56 927 H Hawaii 35-44 -9 1 --- -10.45 1122 H New Mexico 3-20 -17 0 --- -14.14 913 A Utah St 30-49 -19 -8 -- -5.60 1018 H Wyoming 24-21 3 7 - -3.77 1101 H Army 17-20 -3 -1 - -2.26 1115 A UConn 16-26 -10 -7 - -2.72 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 A Navy 31-34 -3 -12 +++ 8.67 1108 A San Jose St 26-16 10 -2 +++ 11.85 1128 A Colorado St 42-21 21 3 +++ 11.32 1129 A Colorado St 42-21 21 3 +++ 11.32 1011 A UNLV 48-51 -3 -8 ++ 5.36 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Utah St ( 7- 7, 75.5) 30-49 -24.37 26.85 5.26 1.06 -10.15
3 H Boise State ( 9- 4, 80.1) 37-49 -19.81 31.41 -5.26 1.06 -13.32
3 H Hawaii ( 8- 5, 76.2) 35-44 -23.70 27.52 -5.26 1.06 -15.38
3 A Navy (10- 2, 78.8) 31-34 -21.10 30.12 5.26 1.06 -8.42
3 A UNLV ( 8- 5, 75.5) 48-51 -24.41 26.81 5.26 1.06 -10.17
3 H Wyoming ( 5- 7, 70.9) 24-21 -29.02 22.20 -5.26 1.06 36.00
3 H Army ( 7- 6, 78.4) 17-20 -21.51 29.71 -5.26 1.06 -14.22
3 A San Jose St ( 3- 9, 69.0) 26-16 -30.92 20.30 5.26 1.06 54.31
3 A UConn ( 9- 4, 74.4) 16-26 -25.49 25.73 5.26 1.06 -10.75
3 H New Mexico ( 9- 4, 77.5) 3-20 -22.39 28.83 -5.26 1.06 -14.69
3 A Colorado St ( 2-11, 64.4) 42-21 -35.45 15.77 5.26 1.06 44.68
3 A Colorado St ( 2-11, 64.4) 42-21 -35.45 15.77 5.26 1.06 44.68
------
82.57
|
winning pts = 179.6729 losing points = -97.1009
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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